Boys - Girls
Elkhart Central Regional
2010 - 2011 - 2012



These are rankings of individuals and teams that feed into this regional. It is not a projected order of finish in the race.
Below the rankings is a projection of this round of the tournament.


RankNameGradeSchoolRatingState Rank
1  Joey Zielinski 12 St. Joseph's 15:45 #4  
2  Miguel Lozano 12 Mishawaka 15:46 #7  
3  Jacob Poyner 11 Warsaw 16:08 #37  
4  Eric Hancock 12 Mishawaka 16:13 #39  
5  Jordan Annis 11 Mishawaka 16:23 #66  
6  Justin Duvall 12 Mishawaka 16:25 #73  
7  Connor Method 12 St. Joseph's 16:27 #78  
8  Josh O'Brien 12 St. Joseph's 16:28 #81  
9  Ellis Coon 10 Warsaw 16:43 #132  
10  Blake O'Dell 10 Northridge 16:44 #134  
11  Tony Spalding 12 Marian 16:47 #145  
12  James Bradberry 9 Northridge 16:49 #154  
13  Joel Hartman 11 Elkhart Christian Academ 16:50 #158  
14  Dylan Dominello 11 St. Joseph's 16:51 #165  
15  Jordan Holloman 12 St. Joseph's 16:53 #174  
16  Luke Kaufman 11 Goshen 16:53 #176  
17  Austin Ganger 11 Mishawaka 16:54 #182  
RankNameSectionalRatingState Rank
1  Mishawaka Riley 200 #5  
2  St. Joseph's Riley 245 #11  
3  Warsaw Elkhart Central 341 #16  
4  Northridge Elkhart Central 495 #43  
5  Penn Riley 510 #46  
6  Goshen Elkhart Central 570 #56  

Other unranked teams:
Concord Elkhart Central 695
Fairfield Elkhart Central 722



Regional Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Only teams that advanced out of the sectional simulation for each trial were included in the regional simulation for that trial. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.


SchoolAdvances to RoundAvg FinishAvg ScoreMin ScoreMax Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Mishawaka 100.0% 1.3 34 17 77 73.4 25.0 1.6
St. Joseph's 100.0% 1.9 45 18 101 25.3 63.3 11.3 0.0 0.0
Warsaw 100.0% 2.9 70 24 157 1.3 11.6 83.6 3.2 0.3 0.0
Northridge 100.0% 4.6 125 48 198 0.0 1.9 50.1 32.9 13.2 1.7 0.2
Penn 100.0% 4.9 132 67 200 1.3 35.6 37.9 20.8 3.6 0.7
Goshen 100.0% 5.7 150 76 210 0.2 10.8 25.8 46.7 13.1 3.4
Fairfield 100.0% 7.1 179 110 233 0.1 2.0 13.4 52.2 32.4
Concord 100.0% 7.5 189 106 238 0.1 1.1 5.9 29.5 63.4


RunnerSchoolRatingAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Joey Zielinski St. Joseph's 15:45 100.0% 1.0 50.7 41.4 6.2 1.2 0.4 0.1
Miguel Lozano Mishawaka 15:46 100.0% 1.1 47.4 45.7 6.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
Jacob Poyner Warsaw 16:08 100.0% 2.9 1.9 9.2 43.5 19.2 10.8 8.5 3.5 2.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0
Eric Hancock Mishawaka 16:13 100.0% 3.5 0.0 2.8 29.5 35.2 14.9 9.3 4.3 2.2 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Jordan Annis Mishawaka 16:23 100.0% 5.4 0.3 4.5 13.5 23.8 20.1 14.8 10.3 5.1 3.2 1.7 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Justin Duvall Mishawaka 16:25 100.0% 6.0 0.1 2.0 7.9 17.3 22.1 15.6 14.3 8.0 4.8 3.0 1.5 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Connor Method St. Joseph's 16:27 100.0% 6.4 0.2 4.2 10.0 13.3 14.9 18.5 16.3 8.7 4.9 2.8 2.1 1.3 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1
Josh O'Brien St. Joseph's 16:28 100.0% 6.5 0.2 3.5 9.4 13.3 13.9 18.2 16.4 9.1 5.8 3.8 2.4 1.6 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
Ellis Coon Warsaw 16:43 100.0% 10.8 0.0 0.9 1.7 3.0 5.9 7.4 11.6 11.1 10.4 9.1 7.8 6.7 5.3 4.6 3.8 2.7 2.1 1.5
Blake O'Dell Northridge 16:44 100.0% 11.2 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.4 2.5 5.2 6.9 10.4 10.6 9.8 9.0 8.0 6.5 5.5 4.2 4.1 3.1 2.6 2.2
Tony Spalding Marian 16:47 97.9% 12.4 0.1 0.6 0.9 1.6 3.7 5.4 8.2 8.5 8.6 8.1 7.3 7.0 6.2 5.2 5.2 4.4 3.3 3.3
James Bradberry Northridge 16:49 100.0% 13.8 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.9 3.3 5.5 7.8 8.0 8.4 7.7 7.2 6.6 6.3 5.8 4.9 4.6 4.0
Joel Hartman Elkhart Christian Academy 16:50 99.0% 14.1 0.3 0.7 1.0 2.3 3.6 5.8 6.3 7.4 7.1 7.5 6.9 6.7 6.4 5.5 5.1 4.7 3.6
Dylan Dominello St. Joseph's 16:51 100.0% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.9 5.3 6.8 7.3 7.9 7.2 7.4 7.1 6.8 5.8 5.4 5.1 4.1
Jordan Holloman St. Joseph's 16:53 100.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.3 4.4 5.7 6.4 6.6 7.0 7.0 6.6 6.6 6.1 6.4 5.2 4.6
Luke Kaufman Goshen 16:53 100.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.4 2.5 3.9 4.8 5.6 6.4 6.3 6.2 7.0 6.2 6.5 5.7 5.4 5.2
Austin Ganger Mishawaka 16:54 100.0% 16.1 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.8 3.7 4.7 5.8 6.1 6.5 6.8 6.3 6.8 6.3 6.1 6.2 5.4